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Monthly Flight Patterns

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02. Monthly Flight Patterns Comparative Analysis: 2025 vs 2026 & April Growth Projection Note: Flight counts based on departure statistics. Growth Projection model based on historical 5-year trend analysis. Global Monthly Business Jet Departures & Year-over-Year Growth Projection

200K 218K 236K 254K 272K 290K 308K 326K 344K 362K 380K -20% -5% +10% +25% 2025 Departures 2026 Actual Departures Actual YoY Growth % (Jan-Mar) Projected YoY Growth % (Apr) Total Volume & Projection: March 2026 recorded 360,597 global business jet departures, representing a strong +24.82% YoY increase compared to March 2025's 288,883 flights. Combined with January's 264,482 and February's 211,691 departures, Q1 2026 cumulative volume stands at 836,770 flights. Based on historical trend analysis, April 2026 is projected at approximately +5% YoY growth, suggesting continued momentum from March's seasonal rebound.

Monthly Performance: March recorded 360,597 departures, a remarkable +70.34% sequential surge from February 2026's 211,691 flights. The daily average of 11,632 flights across 31 operational days represents the highest daily throughput in the 15-month tracking window, well above February's 7,560 daily average and above the 2025 monthly average of approximately 9,520 daily flights.

Growth Dynamics: The +24.82% YoY growth represents one of the strongest monthly expansions on record. With March 2026 containing 31 days vs March 2025's 31 days, calendar effects are neutral. The sequential +70.34% MoM expansion is the largest month-over-month surge observed

in the current tracking period, reflecting a powerful seasonal rebound as spring travel demand accelerated sharply across all regions, consistent with historical March recovery patterns. Market Context: With January through March actuals now available, Q1 2026 volume of 836,770 flights compares favorably against Q1 2025's 802,746 flights (+4.24% YoY). The April forecast projects continued growth at approximately +5% YoY, reflecting the expectation that March's strong momentum will carry into Q2. The dashed projection line from March to April illustrates the anticipated growth trajectory.

Seasonal Patterns: March's powerful rebound confirms that February's weakness was a transient disruption rather than a structural shift. The +70.3% MoM surge aligns with historical patterns where March typically delivers the strongest Q1 acceleration. The 2025 baseline shows consistently elevated volumes from March through November, with October 2025 peaking at 312,622 departures. With March volumes exceeding the prior-year baseline by +24.8%, 2026 activity is now tracking above 2025 levels heading into Q2.

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AVI-GO, “Monthly Flight Patterns — 2026年3月 公务航空分析报告”. https://ai.avi-go.com/news/ai-news-center/reports/2026-03/3?lang=zh

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