⚠️ 16-Flight Discrepancy in KOKM Demand Baseline
The monthly breakdown for KOKM from April 1 to September 18, 2026, totals 349 flights, which is 16 fewer than the original aggregate of 365 flights for the same period. Project estimates should therefore be based on a harmonized statistical methodology. Avi-Go data show that the monthly breakdown comprises 198 departures and 151 arrivals. The complete months from April through August recorded 40, 80, 51, 86, and 59 flights, respectively, totaling 316 flights, with July recording the highest volume. An additional 33 flights were recorded from September 1 through September 18. Because September is not a complete calendar month, it should not be directly compared with the preceding complete months. The currently verifiable monthly breakdown shows that monthly business aviation movements from April through August fluctuated between 40 and 86 flights.
Impact: The 16-flight discrepancy represents approximately 4.6% of the total in the monthly breakdown and will directly affect the baseline for estimating KOKM-related hangar, ground handling, and fuel demand. Using the 365-flight figure yields an average of approximately 2.13 flights per day during the period, while using 349 flights yields approximately 2.04 flights per day. This difference has a material impact on capacity and revenue assumptions for a low-frequency airport project.
Recommendation: Parties involved in KOKM-related projects should consistently use the monthly breakdown total of 349 flights as the currently verifiable basis and reconcile each item against the 198 departures and 151 arrivals. Until the 16-flight discrepancy has been resolved, commercial forecasts may retain separate scenarios based on 349 and 365 flights to avoid determining facility size or revenue expectations directly from a single aggregate figure.